Brian Powell for Mayor of Ammon

Planning Today, Protecting Tomorrow

Ensuring Ammon remains strong, resilient, and affordable for every family

Every decision we make has a lasting impact on our community. The question is: will today’s choices be positive and beneficial for future generations? They will only if decision making is smart, forward-looking, data-driven, and coupled with common sense and clear communication. These two elements — good decisions and good communication — shape how efficient and effective our local government can be, from budgeting and zoning to staffing and planning for future projects.

Openness not only improves coordination but also strengthens transparency and trust in how city government serves its residents. Good decisions and good communication provide direction, minimize risks, and lead to better outcomes for everyone in our community.

What we need to accomplish:

I propose using Ammon’s existing historical data to build two custom analytics models—a Growth Trend Projection Model and a Fiscal Impact Model. These models will display future possibilities based on today’s scenarios and decisions. Together, they will guide smart planning, improve communication, and help create a stronger Ammon for today and the generations to come.

Growth Trend Projection Model

Purpose: Provide community leaders and the public with clear, data-driven projections of where development is most likely to occur in the City of Ammon and its Area of Impact over the next 5–20 years.

Why this matters: This gives Ammon the ability to guide growth on our terms, instead of letting it control us.

Uses 10+ years of historical data (annexations, zoning, plats, permits, traffic counts, Census).
Maps out future activity corridors north, south, east, and west.
Identifies “hot spots” where roads, sewer, fiber, parks, water wells, and law enforcement capacity will be needed.
Provides a shared resource for surrounding jurisdictions and Bonneville School District 93 to plan for enrollment, transportation, and regional infrastructure needs.
Helps the city plan long-term corridor capacity so traffic flows efficiently into and through Ammon for decades.

Fiscal Impact Model

Purpose: Use the data from the Growth Trend Projection Model to provide an objective, free of human bias, data-driven assessment of whether proposed annexations or development agreements will strengthen or strain Ammon’s finances. This model ensures that financial impacts are clearly understood and incorporated into both the annual budget and long-term Capital Improvement Plans (CIPs).

Why this matters: This takes the guesswork out of budgeting, keeps Ammon proactive instead of reactive, and ensures your tax dollars are not wasted.

Integrates Growth Trend projections with financial data.
Calculates both capital costs (utility transmission line upsizing, road expansions, parks) and operating costs (police, streets, utilities, administration).
Excludes contracted services (like fire protection) since those are not Ammon’s direct operating expense.
Compares those costs against revenues (property tax, fees, impact charges, state distributions).
Ensures that even with a limited levy base, community decisions remain financially sustainable and protect existing residents.
Provides a transparent, shareable framework so Idaho Falls, Iona, Bonneville County, and Bonneville School District 93 can prepare alongside Ammon.

Regional Collaboration

Change in population and development patterns affects the entire region, not just Ammon. That’s why Ammon’s Growth Trend and Fiscal Impact Models are designed to be shared with Idaho Falls, Iona, Bonneville County, and Bonneville School District 93.

Why this matters: Regional collaboration ensures that Ammon and its neighbors are planning from the same set of facts. Bottom line: the entire region is strengthened, and residents are protected.

By providing clear, unbiased data, Ammon can:

Help Bonneville School District 93 plan ahead for enrollment shifts and facility needs.
Give Idaho Falls, Iona, and Bonneville County visibility into building permits, annexation agreements, zoning updates, long-term road improvement CIPs, traffic, and utilities.
Ensure all regional partners have access to the same data when making decisions about roads, utilities, schools, and community priorities.
Build partnerships across the region so infrastructure and services are aligned, not duplicated.
Position Ammon as a leader in transparent, data-driven regional planning.

powellforammon.com

Brian Powell for Mayor of Ammon

Growth Trend Projection Model

Fiscal Impact Model

Regional Collaboration

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